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Tropical Storm Lorenzo Circles Around The Central Atlantic

October 14, 2025 at 06:23 AM EDT
By WeatherBug Meteorologists
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast Track
Lorenzo will struggle to organize as it stays over open water in the central Atlantic through this weekend, posing no threat to land.

As of 5 a.m. EDT/AST, Tropical Storm Lorenzo was located near 17.3N and 44.1W, or about 1,330 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. It was packing top sustained winds of 60 mph and was moving to the northwest at 15 mph. Lorenzo's minimum central pressure was 1000 mb, or 29.53 inches of mercury.

Lorenzo may attempt to gradually strengthen as it curves toward the north and then northeast through midweek, though confidence in its intensification remains low. By late week, the system should turn more eastward as a tropical storm. This might even fail to materialize due to dry air lurking nearby. Heading into the weekend, Lorenzo is expected to weaken and transition into a post-tropical system.

Even though the calendar has flipped to October, it’s important to remember that hurricane season doesn’t officially end until November 30. Historically, October averages two to three named storms, and some can still reach hurricane strength. This time of year, tropical development tends to shift toward the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, where warmer waters and favorable atmospheric conditions persist, even as wind shear increases over the central Atlantic. While storm frequency typically drops after September, the threat remains very real as October and November can still produce dangerous and impactful systems.

The U.S. has been fortunate so far this season, with only Tropical Storm Chantal making landfall. It is still crucial to be prepared for impacts from a tropical system regardless. Have a “go-to” bag ready with chargers, water, food, and other necessities. Also, take the time to scope out multiple evacuation routes, in case your preferred one is traffic-jammed or blocked.